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First Thoughts
  By Dan Gilmore - Editor-in-Chief  
     
   
  March 4 , 2010  
     
 

What is Supply Chain Flexibility?

 
 

There are a handful of terms or concepts that seem to universally be at the top of every supply chain executive’s wish list. Common ones these days include “improved supply chain visibility,” “supply chain risk management,” and - the focus of today - “greater supply chain flexibility.”


Sounds great. I agree.

What does it mean, really?

I have actually been thinking about this question for more than a decade, starting when I took my relative brief turn as an industry analyst in the late 1990s. I and many other pundits at the time frequently exhorted companies to make their supply chains more flexible, though if I remember right now without a great deal of specificity on how to do it.

Gilmore Says:

So are we any clearer on what supply chain flexibility really means? Is there any way to really assess or even actually measure either type of flexibility?


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I suppose in part in flexibility might come down in a way to the “I can’t define it but I know it when I see it” sort of thing.

We can all agree, I think, that whatever it really is, supply chain flexibility is increasingly important.

 

Virtually every survey of CEOs I have ever seen has put “the ability to respond more quickly to demand and opportunities,” or something along those lines, at the top of the executive wish list.

 

The overall pace of change and the level of dynamics in everything from commodity and oil prices to consumer demand and competitive threats are at all-time highs. Add in the continued reduction in product lifecycles, and the need for greater flexibility becomes pretty clear.

 

More than a decade ago, I broke down supply chain flexibility into two types:

Micro flexibility: That meant how fast a supply chain could detect and respond to issues and opportunities in the short term – maybe even right now. The truck is late, demand suddenly surges, a customer needs some sort of special packaging or handling: how fast and how effectively can this these changes and needs be managed?


Macro flexibility:
That referred to the speed at which a company's supply chain adapt and execute new strategies and programs to support changes in overall company strategies or market place changes. Easy example: company decides it wants to build a consumer direct e-commerce channel, maybe with new SKUs in the mix. How fast can the supply chain out in place what it needs to do to make that happen? Another: Dell decides to move into retail.

In retrospect, not sure “micro” and “macro” were really the best words to choose, but hopefully the sense of them is clear, and maybe you agree with the two categories and why its important to look at this distinction.

 

It made me feel good then when in 2004 Stanford’s Dr. Hau Lee wrote an important Harvard Business Review article on “The Triple-A Supply Chain,” which was very consistent with my breakdown, at least for two of the three A’s.

 

The first was “Agility,” which was close to my Micro Flexibility notion. Lee said the objective of being more agile was to “Respond to short term changes in supply and demand more quickly.”  The concept as Lee described in was quite similar to the “demand-driven” supply chain notion currently in vogue.

 

Lee’s second A was “Adaptabilty,” which again was very similar to my macro flexibility idea, and can almost be seen as being "evolutionary” – the supply chain must constantly evolve and improve as times and conditions change.

 

Lee gives some characteristics of Agile and Adaptable supply chains, but not what I would call anything that helps us really measure either dimension.

 

My friend Dr. David-Simchi-Levi of MIT has over the last couple of years introduced some other thinking on SCM flexibility. While focused specifically on manufacturing, he does offer a more specific definition around what flexibility means in this context. If you have 5 manufacturing plants for a given business and each one can only produce one family of products, you have 1X flexibility. If each can make two families, you have 2X, etc. “Full flexibility,” or 5X in this example, would mean every plant can make every product.

 

Simchi-Levi has done some great work showing the trade-offs in costs and benefits at different levels of this type of flexibility. The short summary is that best bet is usually to invest in some levels of flexibility, but at a relatively low level (say 2X or 3X).

 

I will briefly note that Honda was praised for its more flexible factories that allowed it to survive both the surge in gasoline prices in 2008 and then the big drop in demand with the recession by having factories that could produce numerous models versus the more model-specific nature of the competition's plants.

 

It also seems to me that the notion of “flex manufacturing” has a role to play here as well. It has been awhile since I have spoken with an expert on that topic or even heard the term used, but five years or so ago I spoke at length with a former supply exec at Carrier Corp., which had been a pioneer in this area, and one of the foundations was being able to profitably produce and meet customer demand at plus or minus 20% of the base forecast.

At least there, we have a clear definition of what "flexible" means. Is there a way to use that approach to the broader supply chain? I am not sure yet.

Finally, all the way back in 1999 a Prof. Martin Christopher of London's Cranfield School of Management wrote a well-received article on "The Agile Supply Chain" that said agility had four dimensions: (1) a supply chain that is driven by true demand; (2) that is "virtual," replacing inventory with information whenever possible in the extended supply chain; (3) true process integration between trading partners; and (4) relatedly, a supply chain network working as one.

At one level, this feels a little dated; on the other hand, think most companies have a long way to go across all four dimensions.

One last point: clearly the flexibility topic ultimately brings in ERP and othre supply chain software, as these can be enablers and detrators from flexibility, I think most would agree.

So are we any clearer on what supply chain flexibility really means? Is there any way to really assess or even actually measure either type of flexibility?

I don't year have any clarity on either question, but I am going to be working on it. Think it would be good for the industry to have some better definition of these important concepts. What gets measures gets managed, as they say.

Do you have definitions for supply chain flexibility, agility, adaptability, etc? Is there any way to actually measure these supply chain attributes? Would having such an assessment or measure be useful? Let us know your thoughs at the Feedback button below.



 
 
     
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Feedback
2010-07-23
 
A look at OEE (Overall Equipment Effectiveness) may be helpful in your “supply chain flexibility” discussion.  It combines three individually measured KPIs (availability, performance, and quality) into one overall metric. 

Bob Nardone said, he believes that “supply chain flexibility is the ability to quickly respond to changes in demand while achieving your customer service, cost, inventory and return on assets (ROA) objectives.” That’s an important nuance – can you respond rapidly without breaking the bank?  He adds that “I don’t think flexibility can be determined by one measurement but rather by a composite of metrics that many businesses currently measure,…”
 
If the Supply chain Flexibility discussion first focused on those “metrics that many businesses currently measure” and agreed on those key to flexible response, it could then turn to discussion/agreement on how to weight each and develop the “composite” metric.
 

John Shogren
Cardinal Corp

2010-03-12

I’ve spent several years pondering the concept of supply chain flexibility both in my time as a supply chain professional in the US Marine Corps—where the President said “go,” you laid down a new supply chain in the far reaches of the earth within 72 hours—and now, working for a $29B corporation.  I’m convinced that  “supply chain flexibility” boils down to this: shorter lead times.  Why?  Because the demand forecast is never right.  If we accept this as a truism, then the burden falls on the supply chain to meet customer demand at the right time, right place, and with the right quantity and quality every time without the liability of inventory build-up.
 
There’s no magic here.  What’s more elusive is shortening lead times given technology constraints; if we simply can’t produce a material faster than 40 days because that’s the current state of technology, then that’s the “nut” we have to “crack.”
 
Elizabeth D. Perez
Cisco

2010-03-10

Here is how I understand supply chain flexibility:
  1. Postponement - Bennetton storing their apparel in a generic colour before colouring when demand is slightly known.
  2. Car companies using the same chasis for more than one model.
  3. Car companies making all their models in all factories (Honda).
  4. Zara (Spain) making fashion apparel profitably, in the shortest time possible.
  5. HP sending all its products to one European DC where they are customised according to each European country`s needs (round versus square plugs, for example).
  6. DELL - self explanatory.
  7. BMW - where clients, via the internet can give the colour of vehicle they want and other specs - but the core of the BMW is still the same. These are mostly exterior and interior `small` customizations.
I think flexibility is the main theme in the above points and companies listed. The fundamental thing/question is what is in common among these companies? And whatever these commonalities, can these commonalities be enough to define flexibility? More research is needed.
 
Phillip K Amutenga   

2010-03-05

Excerpt from your column on SC flexibility…” The concept as Lee described in was quite similar to the “demand-driven” supply chain notion currently in vogue.”   
 
Wow – it’s tough to read “…”demand driven” supply chain notion currently in vogue” – mainly because we resemble that remark.  I realize you probably weren’t being dismissive – so I’ll take the comment in good spirits!  I work for a boutique consulting firm out of Denver that focuses on helping companies enable their supply chains to be demand driven.  As you can see in signature, the company is DemandPoint, formerly JCIT (John Constanza Institute of Technology).  The JCIT heritage was primarily in “flex manufacturing” as you mention in your column.  Our company created and has trademarked Demand Flow® Technology which has a long, successful history in companies like GE, American Standard, Stanley, etc.
 
DFT when applied to factory operations has an extensive basis in math and science.  We’re currently working hard to apply a similarly rigorous approach to enabling supply chains to become demand driven.  To your point, this is largely unchartered space – everyone talks about it – not much deployable science has been created. 
 
We think we have a basis for science by measuring and establishing a supply chain’s “interval” and establishing a cadence based on that interval to govern supply chain execution across trading partners.  The concept of interval and cadence in the supply chain is roughly analogous to the idea of drum beat in a TOC constrained mfg process.  This is key in measuring the interval is modeling demand and modeling mixed-model response capability (whether manufactured or sourced from CMs).  I would love to share some of our ideas and bounce back and forth if you’re interested.
 
 
Dave Cook
Demand Flow® Technology Business Solutions
DemandPoint

2010-03-05

NOTE FROM EDITOR:

Thanks. No, of course reference to "demand driven" is not meant to be dismissive, it was more a comment on the term rather than the idea. Meaning, we have been talking about pull-based supply chains from the beginning of supply chain thinking, we went through ECR almost 20 years ago which really envisioned a "demand driven" supply chain, etc.
 
AMR Research a few years ago popularized the "demand-driven" term that was in part modeled on Procter & Gamble`s own "consumer-driven" concept.
 
So, all about the term being used (and now in vogue), was not the idea.
 
Hope that makes sense.
 
Dan Gilmore

2010-03-05

Womack and Jones in their 2005 book “Lean Consumption” talked about six principles providing a new definition of value for today’s consumer:
  •     Solve my problem completely
  •      Don’t waste my time
  •      Provide exactly what I want
  •      Deliver value where I want it
  •      Supply value when I want it
  •      Reduce the number of decisions I must make to solve my problems
To me in a supply chain context anyone who can deliver the above is really flexible! 
 
David MacLeod
BT Open World

2010-03-05

I think, Flexibility is a term mentioned too much during the course of SCM discussions, and still we feel so dearth of information when somebody asks us to define what this concept actually means in practice. The reason, as you have rightly mentioned, is that we don`t have a definite way to measure the flexibility of the supply chain.

I have some points in mind which can be useful in explaining the measurement process of "Flexibility".

We can carry out research across different SCM cases in history, wherein the common factor is "FLEXIBILITY",then we would look to explain this concept by finding out certain salient features in them and those that helped such supply chains to become so much flexible.

I am a management student, looking to explore this more. As a mentor, I expect you to critically review this & come back on this.

Shyam Dogra 

2010-03-04

I’ve been reading your work and watching your webcasts for several months now.  I’d just like to send my thanks.  I feel like you’re doing an unbelievable job at really digging into very provocative questions.  Keep up the good work, it seems everyone I send your articles to becomes a loyal follower of SCDisgest.    
 
Ryan Sheehan
Conveyco Technologies

 
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